Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 0.058969 0.069792 0.081925 0.096519 0.113580 0.132880 0.156354
2025-05-04 0.042460 0.056429 0.073862 0.097147 0.127362 0.165163 0.215965
2025-05-11 0.033229 0.048358 0.068885 0.098617 0.140408 0.196851 0.278639
2025-05-18 0.027759 0.043559 0.066530 0.102091 0.155439 0.232101 0.350136
2025-05-25 0.022214 0.037283 0.060576 0.098823 0.159583 0.251760 0.401376
2025-06-01 0.018737 0.033394 0.057324 0.098722 0.167895 0.277948 0.465013
2025-06-08 0.015806 0.029784 0.053789 0.097357 0.173604 0.300289 0.524844
2025-06-15 0.014053 0.027864 0.052694 0.099767 0.185660 0.334046 0.607137
2025-06-22 0.012115 0.025229 0.049871 0.098578 0.191069 0.356888 0.673134
2025-06-29 0.010352 0.022600 0.046614 0.096011 0.193447 0.374395 0.731340
2025-07-06 0.008824 0.020164 0.043325 0.092827 0.194085 0.388555 0.784681
2025-07-13 0.008019 0.019106 0.042613 0.094643 0.204647 0.422442 0.879133
2025-07-20 0.007190 0.017875 0.041406 0.095360 0.213298 0.454048 0.973765
2025-07-27 0.006442 0.016699 0.040141 0.095783 0.221418 0.485610 1.072228
2025-08-03 0.005859 0.015811 0.039379 0.097191 0.231821 0.523019 1.187078
2025-08-10 0.005471 0.015335 0.039489 0.100607 0.247116 0.572470 1.333123
2025-08-17 0.004749 0.013857 0.036965 0.097383 0.246691 0.587562 1.405537
2025-08-24 0.004284 0.012982 0.035794 0.097283 0.253609 0.619773 1.519911
2025-08-31 0.003818 0.012013 0.034225 0.095937 0.257285 0.644896 1.620660
2025-09-07 0.003566 0.011613 0.034096 0.098313 0.270560 0.694000 1.783226
2025-09-14 0.003200 0.010802 0.032719 0.097141 0.274558 0.721180 1.895826
2025-09-21 0.002829 0.009902 0.030947 0.094610 0.274628 0.738659 1.986383
2025-09-28 0.002483 0.009014 0.029063 0.091469 0.272621 0.750643 2.064369